The long-term weakness in apartment prices

Apartments under construction, Maple Ridge, March 2013

Apartments under construction, Maple Ridge, March 2013

As we mentioned last December, detached homes in the priciest parts of Greater Vancouver continue to hold their value despite predictions of a crash. Houses in  Vancouver West (west of Ontario Street), the most expensive real estate zone in B.C., are 28 per cent above the levels of five years ago, while adjacent areas such as East Vancouver and Richmond are almost as strong.

Apartment markets are weaker across the board, according to current figures from the Greater Vancouver and Fraser Valley real estate boards. In every market from  Abbotsford to West Vancouver, detached homes have outperformed apartments over the past five years. Continue reading

Speculation and stagnation in the real estate market

Burnaby Heights

Burnaby Heights

Home prices have sagged across Fraseropolis in recent months, but they’re still something of a marvel.  Realtors estimate the “benchmark” cost of a detached house in north Burnaby at close to $1,000,000;  west of Ontario Street in  Vancouver, the figure last month was above $2,000,000.

So, inevitably: is there a residential real estate bubble in British Columbia’s Lower Mainland? Are we verging on a crash?  Is it time to panic?  This debate has run on for years, and I won’t issue a ruling here, except to observe that the pricey parts of the region have tended to get pricier over time, despite the fretting, while home prices in the least expensive areas have stagnated (see the chart at the bottom of this post.) Continue reading